Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 17.270272 19.990680 22.936621 26.355875 30.206960 34.401769 39.308047
2025-09-21 12.373195 16.046321 20.413509 25.949851 32.738654 40.746529 50.857627
2025-09-28 9.359952 13.311177 18.373158 25.247197 34.239497 45.493832 60.518857
2025-10-05 8.214682 12.576643 18.504265 26.994383 38.660604 53.922406 75.151229
2025-10-12 7.266666 11.879088 18.480732 28.382641 42.571492 61.837663 89.566531
2025-10-19 6.251839 10.880376 17.838007 28.732309 44.956933 67.745540 101.566029
2025-10-26 5.400882 9.973717 17.171256 28.898858 46.991392 73.193454 113.164042
2025-11-02 4.596475 8.999831 16.249472 28.524707 48.110169 77.306405 123.006616
2025-11-09 3.895838 8.080979 15.280757 27.931930 48.775701 80.708329 131.913279
2025-11-16 3.296760 7.240308 14.323181 27.224275 49.144405 83.609410 140.148232
2025-11-23 2.747122 6.396047 13.242109 26.168555 48.811944 85.333542 146.591231
2025-11-30 2.506552 6.123160 13.154416 26.821459 51.352941 91.728032 160.644392
2025-12-07 2.244698 5.790203 12.964340 27.366437 53.921321 98.604407 176.339499
2025-12-14 1.904044 5.228186 12.267144 26.919888 54.757286 102.757054 188.024242
2025-12-21 1.591505 4.662533 11.475851 26.190051 54.995692 105.886971 198.175189
2025-12-28 1.532078 4.695464 11.942929 27.992407 60.056420 117.636832 223.504532
2026-01-04 1.446629 4.645202 12.218950 29.424609 64.510624 128.559806 247.955283
2026-01-11 1.295415 4.389336 11.996610 29.785308 66.906065 135.922728 266.565028
2026-01-18 1.151457 4.120834 11.704484 29.957112 68.925322 142.695026 284.445590
2026-01-25 0.995679 3.780502 11.188109 29.571140 69.771537 147.321761 298.680646
2026-02-01 0.850683 3.435213 10.604333 28.959591 70.085857 150.938627 311.224213
2026-02-08 0.721354 3.104110 10.002329 28.229453 70.073574 153.901379 322.669821
2026-02-15 0.597439 2.753790 9.288488 27.140043 69.179450 155.065652 330.764524